Storms causing accidents, delays across US as severe weather threats remain

first_imgABC News(NEW YORK) — Storms continue to move across the country Wednesday morning, causing flash flooding and snow in the Southwest and severe storms in the Mid-Mississippi River Valley.Already, 2 to 3 inches of rain fell in southern California in the last two days, which caused flash flooding on the roads. When it rains in southern California, roads get extra slick causing accidents and backups. There was already a major pileup Tuesday on Interstate 5 in San Diego.In the Mid-Mississippi River Valley, expect strong to severe storms later Wednesday morning into the afternoon with damaging winds, a few tornadoes and large hail. Areas with tornado and damaging winds threats are Little Rock, Arkansas, Memphis, Tennessee and northern Mississippi.Stormy patterns continue Thursday from the Southwest and into the Mid-South, with more flash flooding possible from southern California into Arizona.In the Mid-South, more severe weather is expected with damaging winds, a few tornadoes and large hail. The cities in the path of these storms will be Nashville, Tennessee; Memphis; Little Rock; Paducah, Kentucky, and Louisville, Kentucky.In addition to the heavy rain in the Southwest, snow is forecast for the southern Rockies, where in some areas 1 to 2 feet of accumulation is possible in the next couple of days.Additional rain is also forecast for the southern Plains and into the Tennessee and Ohio Valley. Locally, more than 3 inches of rain with flash flooding is possible.Copyright © 2020, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.last_img read more

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’SC leads in international students

first_imgUSC leads the nation in international student enrollment for the 11th year in a row, according to a report released Monday.The report was released by the Institute of International Education and supported by the Bureau of Educational and Cultural Affairs at the Department of State. In the 2011-12 school year, USC enrolled 9,269 international students with a record enrollment of 2,515 Chinese students representing the largest group. The second-largest group of international students were from India, with 1,265 enrolled. In fall 2011, about 71 percent of international students were participating in graduate programs.President C. L. Max Nikias said in a statement released Monday that USC’s large international student population enhances the educations of all students on campus.“USC is so proud of its exceptional international students, as well as its ability to continually draw such talented students from all over the world,” Nikias said in a statement. “These students arrive on our campuses with a broad range of experiences and perspectives, as well as tremendous intellect and creativity. They benefit enormously from their time at USC, while our domestic students learn about cultures outside their own. The bonds our students form — and the professional connections they establish — remain with them for life.”Associate Dean of Student Affairs Tony Tambascia said USC’s concerted efforts to attract international students will encourage them to attend the university.“At USC, international students from over 115 different countries participate fully in both the academic and co-curricular aspects of campus life,” Tambascia said in a statement. “The university’s leadership is dedicated to helping international students have a great Trojan experience, and I think this is part of why so many students from around the world enroll each year.The report also found that USC ranked sixth for the total number of students pursuing study abroad programs, with 2,340 students participating in these programs in the 2010-11 school year.The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and New York University ranked second and third place, respectively, for number of international students, according to the report.last_img read more

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Protective Masks Mandatory on Miami Beach

first_imgThe country is gearing up for a peak week in coronavirus hospitalizations and deaths in U.S. hotspots like New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Detroit.Other areas of the country like South Florida are peaking later. Miami is by far the epicenter of the coronavirus in Florida. The Florida Department of Health’s latest numbers show the city has almost 2500 cases, which is about four times more than Hollywood, which has the second-most cases in the state with over 600. As for counties, Miami-Dade has the most cases with over 41-hundred, while Broward has almost 19-hundred, and Palm Beach has a thousand. Palm Beach County, however, leads Florida in the number of deaths from COVID-19.The Florida Department of Health yesterday announced 26 more deaths, including 14 in Palm Beach, which brings its state-high total to 49.Broward County had eight more deaths, which brings its total to 40.The state’s death total to 221. In Miami, effective tomorrow, wearing some kind of mask or face covering will not just be encouraged, it will be a requirement on Miami Beach if you’re heading out to the pharmacy or the grocery store.last_img read more

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Ohio Crop Progress — August 20, 2018

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest Warm and wet weather continued for most of the State, according to Cheryl Turner, State Statistician, USDA, NASS, Ohio Field Office. There were 4.2 days suitable for fieldwork in Ohio during the week ending August 19. Corn progress remained well ahead of the 5-year average for dough and dent stages. Soybean condition improved slightly to 75 percent good to excellent. Field work included making hay, tilling fields, and hauling manure. Livestock reportedly benefited from cooler temperatures in the mornings and improved pasture conditions. Oats were nearly all harvested by the end of the week.Click here to read the full reportlast_img read more

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Shutdown-delayed USDA market reports will be released Feb. 8

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest Even though the government is back up and running, the month-long government shutdown continues to have lasting effects, especially when it comes to commodity markets.Over 60 reports were not released at their scheduled times due to the furloughed staff of the National Agricultural Statistics Service. USDA this week announced that many of those reports, including final harvest numbers for 2018, will be published on the next regularly-scheduled report day Feb. 8.The February World Agriculture Supply and Demand (WASDE) report will also be released then. Some of the data, including the January WASDE report, will never be published, according to American Farm Bureau Federation Economist Veronica Nigh.Some of January’s data will be rolled into the February report.“USDA is generally considered to be the gold standard when it comes to reports and you got to remember how much we’re missing here. The obvious things we’re missing are weekly export sales reports, daily flash sale reports, your monthly WASDE report. The other thing we’re missing is we’re missing reports from overseas from Foreign Ag Services offices,” said Joe Vaclavik, founder and CEO of Standard Grain in Chicago.Especially missed updates are those from South America, such as Brazil and Argentina, which are at a critical point in their season.“Yeah it effects the markets and I think if its resulted in anything at this point, maybe its slowing and volatility because we don’t have those reports,” he said.Many market analysts are warning farmers to watch for the glut of data from USDA shocking the market when released.last_img read more

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Jason Whitlock Thinks Chip Kelly Will Be Miami’s Next Head Coach

first_imgJason Whitlocks and Colin Coward talk about Chip Kelly on ESPN.jason whitlocks chip kelly to miamiThere are many who believe that Philadelphia Eagles head coach Chip Kelly will eventually wind up back in the college game, where he saw great success as the leading man for the Oregon Ducks. One Fox Sports analyst – Jason Whitlock – thinks that it’s going to happen sooner rather than later.Whitlock joined Colin Cowherd on his radio show Wednesday afternoon and made a bold prediction. He thinks that Kelly will be Miami football’s next head coach. He believes that Kelly’s system would be a great fit for the Hurricanes, given the talent in the area.We’re not sure we agree, but it’s fun to think about. Miami needs to make a splash, and being able to land Kelly would certainly do just that.last_img read more

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I am aam aadmi working in a team of motivated people to

first_imgNaveen Jaihind, a social activist, became a part of India Against Corruption in 2011 and later became a member of Aam Aadmi Party which was formed in 2012. In 2014, he fought his first Lok Sabha elections from his home town Rohtak. He may have lost the elections but that did not deter him from playing a more active political role. In 2015, his political stature further grew in the party when he was appointed as the AAP state president of Haryana. As he prepares to fight from the bellwether seat of Faridabad Lok Sabha constituency in 2019, he spoke to Piyush Ohrie of Millennium Post on various issues. He talked about Haryana model of governance, issue of nationalism being raised in the elections, campaigning amid limited resources, issues plaguing Faridabad Lok Sabha constituency and the bitter truth of political parties ultimately resorting to caste politics for seeking votes from the electorate. Excerpts Also Read – Odd-Even: CM seeks transport dept’s views on exemption to women, two wheelers, CNG vehiclesIn 2014 you fought your first Lok Sabha elections from your hometown Rohtak. You are now fighting 2019 general elections from Faridabad. In these five years how have you evolved as a politician and how is it reflected in your campaigning? I do not consider myself as a politician. I am an aam aadmi working in a team of motivated and driven volunteers to bring positive change in the lives of people. It is these volunteers that campaign for the party. Also Read – More good air days in Delhi due to Centre’s steps: JavadekarAmid limited resources, how during your campaign trail are you trying to make sure that you reach out to the maximum number of people? We have a motivated team of party workers who are determined to spread the message of our developmental works in Delhi despite lack of resources. We are making sure that our workers are present and visible in all the public place and market gatherings. They speak to the people who are there on the ground directly and make them aware of the works that have been done by the AAP government in the development of Delhi. Taking a cue from the Delhi model of governance, what is your vision towards the creation of the Haryana model of governance? The issues that used to plague the common citizens of Delhi are more or less the same that trouble the citizens of Haryana. Even in Haryana, the citizens demand 24 hours supply of power in reasonable rates, regular supply of clean drinking water and better sanitation systems. Rather than being dependent on private schools and hospitals, the citizens want excellent government schools and hospitals. AAP in Delhi has worked successfully on these aspects. Unlike Delhi law and order is a state subject and we would like to reform this system in the state. We will work on the problem of unemployment. We also want to work for the betterment of farmers who are definitely more in Haryana than in Delhi. 90 per cent of the Delhi model of governance can be successfully implemented in Haryana. Haryana is a land of soldiers as well as farmers, what are your plans to take care of these major classes of citizens. The issue of nationalism has become a major point in these elections, what are your views about it? In Delhi, we have a system wherein we provide Rs one crore to martyr’s family. We wish to do in Haryana as well. As far as the farmers are concerned, the government has ensured that farming today is a loss-making venture. To begin with, the government has to be honest in trying to solve the agrarian crisis. A farmer today is debt-ridden and he is being forced to take more debts. The Kisaan fasal bima yojna brought by the government has further worsened the situation of the farmer. There is a need to incorporate newer forms of technology in farming which has not been done by the government. The Central government did not do any development works so it has been a ploy to seek votes in the name of caste and religion. They are now doing in the name of soldiers and martyrs which is shameful. Citizens are now also asking questions that why the Pakistani Prime Minister is openly endorsing the re-election of Narendra Modi as a Prime Minister despite strike on their terror camps and killing many people in their country. What are the problems of Faridabad Lok Sabha constituency? If elected as an MP, how do you wish to solve these problems? Law & Order is a big problem in Faridabad. Pollution is also a major problem that needs to be tackled. Today because of pollution, a large number of children is facing respiratory problems. We will also prevent the destruction of Aravallis that forms the lungs of the city. Like Somnath Temple, Faridabad has been looted many times. I would like to prevent this loot. Today in the governance of self-proclaimed chowkidaars, the public agencies are not performing their job well and are just making money. Once we free these agencies from the so-called Chowkidars, we will work with the people and ensure that Faridabad is free of pollution and garbage. Your decision to put Jaihind as your surname was done because you did not believe in playing caste politics. In this campaign trail, you have now begun to use pandit before your name, is caste, therefore, a necessity that has to be ultimately raised by the politicians? Yeh ek kadva sach hai ki jaatiwaad hai (this a bitter truth that caste is a reality). Not only has the Chief Minister of Haryana but even the Prime Minister uses it during his election campaigns.last_img read more

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EU leaders support Merkel over NSA spying

first_imgBRUSSELS –  28 EU leaders discuss the scandal of the US NSA’s monitoring of Merkel’s phone at the EU summit.Twenty-eight European Union (EU) leaders made a joint statement at a two-day EU summit noting the intentions of France and Germany in seeking bilateral talks with the United States (US).The EU leaders announced that other EU countries were welcome to join the initiative which underlined close relations between Europe and the US and the value of that partnership.German Chancellor Angela Merkel said the summit aimed to arrive at a common understanding of the services between the United States, Germany and France for the establishment of a framework for cooperation.Regarding the recent scandal over reports claiming the US National Security Agency (NSA) tapped German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s mobile phone, French President Francois Hollande said, “A special European cell is already set up to deal with the wave of snooping disclosures.”A recent examination by the German secret service BND and the Federal Office for Information Security (BSI) following Spiegel magazine’s report on files revealed by NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden has supported suspicions that secret surveillance targeted Merkel’s private mobile phone.According to press reports, German authorities believe the possible surveillance operation had been controlled by a team at the US embassy in Berlin.Stressing that experts must accelerate efforts on the matter with their US allies, Hollande added, “This issue is not going away and there will be more revelations in the future.”Call for talks come “with the aim of finding, before the end of the year, an understanding on mutual relations in that field,” EU President Herman Van Rompuy said.“Any new understanding applies to relations between European countries, as well as to relations with the US,” emphasized Van Rompuy.last_img read more

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Did The Packers Squander Aaron Rodgers

IND9.810.1HOU98.22.423.61515 Although the Packers hadn’t replaced a coach at midseason since 1953, Sunday’s loss forced their hand. Now they’ll need to figure out who’s next, from a candidate list that includes big names among both pro coordinators (Josh McDaniels) and up-and-coming college coaches (Lincoln Riley). They’ll also need to hope Rodgers’s issues were more related to McCarthy’s offense and less to his getting older and less productive — basically, that the next Packer coach will be more Mike Shanahan to Rodgers’s John Elway than Jimmy Johnson to his Dan Marino. So while the Packers may not have much on the line over the rest of their games, this promises to be the most interesting offseason Green Bay has had since Favre was retiring and unretiring more than a decade ago.FiveThirtyEight vs. the readersMake sure to check out FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings using our NFL prediction interactive, which simulates the rest of the season 100,000 times and tracks how often each team should make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl. And did you know you can also pick against the Elo algorithm in our prediction game? Maybe you can also climb up our giant leaderboard (or, if you’re like me, fall down it with each passing week).Here are the games in which Elo made its best — and worst — predictions against the reader picks last week: Rodgers hasn’t won as much as he should haveTop 10 NFL starting quarterbacks by Yards Above Backup QB, 1990-2017, with their actual and expected Super Bowl appearances PIT62PIT54LAC 33, PIT 30+6.7– 1Peyton Manning1721,58544.15-0.15 PHI28.324.2DAL81.119.451.01578 3Drew Brees1617,25012.89-1.89 KC83KC89KC 40, OAK 33+0.4– Home teams are in bold.The scoring system is nonlinear, so readers’ average points don’t necessarily match the number of points that would be given to the average reader prediction. 6Ben Roethlisberger1410,94531.35+1.65 CAR17.89.9CLE0.30.422.01454 8Steve Young810,02211.65-0.65 4Brett Favre1913,04721.86+0.14 Over time, it became more and more difficult for the Packers to come within striking distance of the Super Bowl. In 2015, Rodgers slumped to career-worst numbers without top wideout Jordy Nelson, though the team as a whole was still good enough to get to the divisional playoffs before losing. In 2016, it was more of the same when Rodgers mused that Green Bay could still “run the table” — sparking an eight-game winning streak that saw the QB return to vintage form and left the Packers a win away from the Super Bowl.4Though their defense was shredded by Matt Ryan and the Falcons for 493 yards, ending the streak. By then Rodgers was 34 years old, so a sense of urgency was setting in when 2017 came and went without a playoff berth — even though that could be written off as the byproduct of Rodgers missing nine starts.The 2018 season was always going to be the real crossroads for McCarthy. With a healthy Rodgers leading the way, the Pack could always count on contending in the past, so this year’s expectations were no different. But Rodgers’s numbers have been merely good, not great. Brett Hundley isn’t around anymore to take any blame. And unlike in 2015, when Green Bay was talented enough to survive despite a downturn in its QB’s individual stats, there has been no answer from the team’s supporting cast this time around. It all came crashing down around McCarthy in the loss to Arizona as 13½-point favorites, Green Bay’s single most disappointing defeat since the merger according to Pro-Football-Reference’s point-spread data.We can visualize the Packers’ decline over McCarthy’s final few years at the helm using FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings. Specifically, I’ve been tinkering with an experimental version of Elo that keeps a separate adjustment for the primary QB in each game, similar to how we treat starting pitchers in our MLB ratings.5For those curious, it uses what I’m calling a QB’s Performance Value Added (PVA). That metric starts with an estimate of a primary QB’s value over replacement (according to ESPN’s expected-points data) in a game:PVA = -2.2*Attempts + 3.7*Completions + (Pass Yds / 5) + 11.3*Pass TDs – 14.1*Interceptions – 8*Sacks – 1.1*Rushes + 0.6*Rush Yds + 15.9*Rush TDsIt then compares that number to the per-game average allowed by the opposing defense in all other games that season (excluding the game in question). By definition, an average PVA is 0.0. Then a running mean of PVA is kept for both teams and individual QBs, which is used to modify the team’s base rating depending on which QB is used. (Interestingly, the predictions work best when the individual ratings update slightly faster than the team ones, which suggest QB “hot streaks” do contain extra information.) Debut QBs are assigned an expected PVA of -47, and they reduce a team’s effective Elo rating by 108 points relative to an average QB. Using this, we can trace how a team’s performance rises and falls independent of its QB — which is useful in cases like 2017, when Rodgers was hurt and Hundley started nine games. (For instance, by season’s end, the Packers would have projected to be a 1529 Elo team with Rodgers starting — compared to a 1427 team with Hundley. And remember, 1500 is average.) HOU77HOU69HOU 29, CLE 13-6.6– LAC96.03.6CIN0.91.39.11504 Game quality is the harmonic mean of the Elo ratings for the two teams in a given matchup. Total Change adds up the potential swing in playoff odds for every team in the league (not just the two teams listed).*Average change is weighted by the likelihood of a win or loss. (Ties are excluded.)Source: ESPN.com Elo’s dumbest (and smartest) picks of Week 13Average difference between points won by readers and by Elo in Week 13 matchups in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL prediction game Playoff %Playoff % The dismissal of Green Bay coach Mike McCarthy — who was let go after the Packers’ stunning home loss to the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday — wasn’t exactly a shock. Perennially tabbed as a Super Bowl contender out of the NFC, McCarthy’s team had gone just 11-16-1 over the past two seasons, including a disappointing 8-9-1 in games that featured future Hall of Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers as Green Bay’s primary passer.1Meaning he led the team in attempts for the game. It was time for a change along the sidelines that Vince Lombardi once roamed.Things weren’t always so bleak on the frozen tundra. The McCarthy era had its high points, particularly early on — when he and Rodgers appeared to have Green Bay positioned on the cusp of a potential dynasty. But between postseason near-misses, roster changes, injuries and coaching miscues, McCarthy’s Packers never fulfilled that promise. Instead, it’s fair to wonder whether Green Bay squandered the prime of one of the most talented QBs in NFL history.The Packers team that McCarthy inherited in 2006 from Mike Sherman2Because every Packer coach must be named “Mike”. was one in transition — and that meant navigating some heavy-duty Brett Favre melodrama in his first two seasons at Green Bay’s helm. However, McCarthy quickly found that he had an all-time great on his hands in Rodgers, who, when he took over the starting job at age 25, was just entering his best years as a passer. The McCarthy-Rodgers marriage sputtered to a 6-10 finish in its first season but yielded great results shortly thereafter: an 11-5 playoff campaign in Year 2, then a Super Bowl crown in Year 3 and a 15-1 regular season (with Rodgers winning MVP) in Year 4. The sky seemed to be the limit for McCarthy and his star QB.Since the end of the 2011 regular season, however, the Packers have gone just 5-6 in the playoffs; by comparison, Tom Brady and the postseason Patriots are 13-5 over the same span. Green Bay’s record includes a crushing home defeat against the New York Giants two weeks after that 15-1 season ended and another loss in which they watched helplessly as ex-49er Colin Kaepernick destroyed their defense in 2012 — still one of the greatest individual QB games in playoff history. The Packers’ postseason circumstances have not always been ideal: For instance, that Giants game was actually the only time since 2011 that Green Bay lost in the playoffs while favored — meaning the rest of the losses were as underdogs. But at the same time, the Pack have also had clear chances to return to the Super Bowl, and they came up short in each of them.All told, it remains mystifying that a quarterback of Rodgers’s stature hasn’t won more frequently. If we run a simple logit regression between a QB’s Yards Above Backup in a season and whether his team made the Super Bowl,3Minimum six starts during the season, using data since 1990 (the era of the current playoff setup). we’d expect Rodgers to have made 1.86 Super Bowls in his career through 2017 — roughly twice as many as he’s actually been to. (Meanwhile, other contemporary QBs — such as Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning and even Brady — have gone to more than twice as many Super Bowls as we’d expect from their individual stats.) BAL65.0%+/-15.1KC100.0%+/-0.031.81628 TB1.72.0NO100.00.06.91570 9Matt Ryan108,25111.14-0.14 DEN20.911.1SF0.00.024.71427 LAR68LAR79LAR 30, DET 16+4.1– CHI69CHI72NYG 30, CHI 27-6.1– TEN78TEN72TEN 26, NYJ 22-4.4– TEN18.910.6JAX0.10.121.91478 GB73GB79ARI 20, GB 17-10.5– PIT83.811.0OAK0.00.023.71453 OUR PREDICTION (ELO)READERS’ PREDICTION 1990 was the first season of the NFL’s current playoff format. Expected Super Bowls are based on a season-by-season logit regression between a QB’s Yards Above Backup and whether his team made the Super Bowl.Source: Pro-Football-Reference.com MIN59.719.9SEA87.711.841.41572 GB1.41.3ATL1.11.25.51469 7Philip Rivers1210,72101.54-1.54 MIA6.67.4NE99.70.516.21537 Super Bowls Made NE67NE65NE 24, MIN 10-3.8– 10Tony Romo98,19201.11-1.11 IND51IND62JAX 6, IND 0-14.0– NO64NO74DAL 13, NO 10-15.3– CIN52%DEN59%DEN 24, CIN 10+8.5– CHI94.44.3LAR100.00.010.81615 BUF0.00.0NYJ0.00.02.41377 PHI69PHI66PHI 28, WSH 13-4.1– After a series of narrow wins at midseason, the algorithm handed the readers their worst loss (-55.2 points on average) since Week 3. Some of the blame can go to the subject of this column — the Green Bay Packers, whose loss not only cost Mike McCarthy his job but also cost users 10.5 points on average. But readers were also burned by the Jaguars’ win over the Colts and the Cowboys’ upset victory over the Saints. Add it up, and Elo has beaten the average reader 12 times in 13 weeks this season.But congrats to Mike Edelstein, who led all users in Week 13 with 137.0 points, and to one of my favorite leaderboard names, Greg Chili Van Hollebeke, who maintained his No. 1 ranking on the season with 1,002.1 points. Thanks to everyone who has been playing — and if you haven’t, be sure to get in on the action! You can make picks now and still try your luck against Elo, even if you haven’t played yet.Check out our latest NFL predictions. 5Aaron Rodgers1010,98811.86-0.86 CAR59CAR64TB 24, CAR 17-7.8– WSH26.411.7NYG0.10.124.91435 The best matchups of Week 14Week 14 games by the highest average Elo rating (using the harmonic mean) plus the total potential swing for all NFL teams’ playoff chances based on the result, according to FiveThirtyEight’s NFL predictions ATL53ATL50BAL 26, ATL 16+1.5– Team ACurrentAvg. Chg*Team BCurrentAvg. Chg*Total ChangeGame Quality PICKWIN PROB.PICKWIN PROB.ResultREADERS’ NET PTS DET0.30.3ARI0.00.04.21412 2Tom Brady1619,73583.63+4.37 SEA83SEA83SEA 43, SF 16-1.5– MIA58MIA57MIA 21, BUF 17-2.3– QuarterbackYears StartingYARDS Above BackupActualExpectedDiff. At the beginning of 2015, the Packers had an effective Elo of 1622, which included a 73-point boost from having Rodgers at QB and a 49-point boost from his teammates. By the end of the year, Green Bay’s effective Elo was still in the same neighborhood (1597), despite Rodgers’s adjustment actually dropping to negative 11, because the rest of the team carried a larger share of the weight (+108). Meanwhile, at the peak of the Packers’ run-the-table surge in 2016, the team’s 1657 effective Elo arose out of a 61-point boost from Rodgers and 97 additional points (relative to league average) from the rest of the team.But fast-forward to now, and it’s clear how much the Packers have crumbled around Rodgers. His own adjustment is 16 points of Elo above an average QB, the lowest it’s been since Week 10 of the 2016 season. But he’s still expected to be above average; his supporting cast, by contrast, has fallen to a negative-67 score relative to the average team. That’s the worst they have been in Rodgers’s entire NFL career, and it isn’t especially close. Keeping QB play constant, the Packers’ Elo has dropped by a total of 139 points since the end of the 2016 season, which is essentially the difference in current Elo ratings of the 11-1 Los Angeles Rams and the 6-6 Carolina Panthers.The reasons for the slide are varied, but many can be traced back to a series of poor drafts under former general manager Ted Thompson, who was replaced by current front-office chief Brian Gutekunst in January. As Sports Illustrated’s Kalyn Kahler pointed out last week, only three of Green Bay’s 17 draftees from 2014 and 2015 remain on the current roster. While no team can avoid dry spells in the NFL draft if given enough time, the Packers also — largely by design — did little in the way of enlisting outside help as a backup plan.6In addition to the lack of starters from recent drafts, only two of the team’s current starters were drafted by a team other than Green Bay. Again, this was the byproduct of the Packers’ religious devotion to drafting and developing their own prospects, but that plan only really works when you draft well. Combine those infrastructural problems with criticisms of McCarthy’s offensive scheme (criticisms of a perceived lack of innovation that Rodgers apparently shared), plus legitimate complaints about Rodgers’s own decline in performance, and a season like this was bound to happen to Green Bay sooner or later.Even so, it came contrary to preseason predictions. Going into the schedule, you might have penciled in this week’s matchup against the Atlanta Falcons as a marquee game with playoff implications. Instead, it will be the third-worst game of the week, according to our combination of matchup quality (i.e., the harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings in each game) and game importance (how likely it is to swing every team’s odds of making the playoffs):7A little note is in order here, to explain how these game importance ratings are now calculated. All season long, I have been crunching the numbers on how a given game affects the two teams involved. But this week, with the playoffs on the horizon and certain matchups taking on more importance because of their outside implications, I changed the formula to add up a game’s potential swing in playoff odds for every team in the league — including those not participating in the game itself. read more

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